Thursday, July 01, 2004

A Bush Landslide?

Undaunted by public opinion trends and the historic reality of what Bush's approval ratings mean for his presidency, a bunch of academics ignore their fatal mistake last time and have declared that the incumbent (President Bush) will win in a landslide based on economic matters.

Never mind that in 2000 they made the exact same prediction and were proven wrong. And never mind that this election has less to do with the economy as it does foreign policy and Bush's credibility problem.

I have to say it - sitting in ivory towers and pouring over economic data is not the right way to look at an election. I mean, even E.J. Dionne is starting to think there is enough discontent to sweep the incumbents out.

I'm so glad professors aren't the ones choosing the next President.